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Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.Rapdidus will start producing 2-nanometer chips in April next year. Dong Zhelang, president of Rapdidus, an advanced Japanese semiconductor foundry company, said that by the end of March 2025, Rapdidus will complete all the equipment setup required for trial production of 2-nanometer chips, and start the trial production line in April to actually produce 2-nanometer chips.This year's 2 trillion special bonds for replacing hidden debts have all disclosed that the planned issuance amount of six provinces exceeds 10 million. According to the documents disclosed on China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue 4.7 billion yuan of special bonds for refinancing to replace existing hidden debts, of which the issuance scale of 3-year, 7-year and 10-year special bonds for refinancing is 800 million yuan, 2.725 billion yuan and 1.175 billion yuan respectively. It is worth mentioning that since November 12, the total amount of refinancing special bonds to be issued or issued to replace existing implicit debts has reached 2 trillion yuan. This means that all the refinancing special bonds used by local governments to replace hidden debts have been disclosed this year. (澎湃)

IEA Monthly Report: So far, gasoline is the main factor that drags down the growth of global oil demand.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.After the emergency martial law storm, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively. After the emergency martial law storm in South Korea, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively, and the stock market fluctuated obviously. This week, it began to rebound slightly. South Korean media pointed out that the uncertainty of South Korea's political situation may put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Planning and Finance, Choe Sang-mu, held an "emergency macroeconomic and financial symposium" on the 10th to discuss the dynamics of the financial and foreign exchange markets and the countermeasures. According to South Korea's Chosun Ilbo reported on the 9th, after the emergency martial law storm, the total market value of South Korea's stock market evaporated by 58 trillion won within three days, and more than 400 billion US dollars of foreign exchange reserves were also threatened. As the political struggle of "impeaching the president" continues, not only finance, but also retail, alcohol, real estate, semiconductor export and other aspects of the Korean economy have also felt the chill. South Korean media believe that if financial instability and the stagnation of the real economy, the economy may fall into crisis sharply. According to the "Foreign Securities Investment Trends in November" released by the Korea Financial Supervisory Authority on the 10th, foreign investors sold 4.154 trillion won in the Korean securities market last month and sold Korean shares for four consecutive months. South Korea's "Asia Daily" said on the 10th that as South Korea re-entered the presidential impeachment time, the uncertainty intensified, and it is expected that the net selling behavior of foreign investors will continue. Although South Korea's stock market rebounded on the 10th, the uncertainty of the political situation put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Chosun Ilbo published a commentary on the 10th, saying that Fitch and Moody's, among the world's three major credit rating agencies, have successively warned that if the storm after martial law is prolonged, South Korea's national credit rating may be negatively affected. (CCTV)

US natural gas futures rose 6% in the day, and US natural gas futures rose 6% in the day, and are now reported at $3.353 per million British heat.The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."Jinmo Technology: The reserve price for the transfer of 40% equity of Mo Tian Jun Fu is 9,980,600 yuan. Jinmo Technology announced that the company held the 28th meeting of the 4th Board of Directors on November 29th, 2024, and reviewed and approved the Proposal on Authorizing the General Manager's Office to Transfer the Equity of Joint Venture. Authorized by the resolution of the board of directors, the company entrusted Southwest United Assets and Equity Exchange to publicly list and transfer 40% equity of Beijing Mo Tian Jun Fu Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a reserve price of 9,980,600 yuan. Aerofilm Technology Development Group Co., Ltd. became the final transferee, with a transaction price of 9,980,600 yuan. Aerofilm Technology holds 23.63% shares of Jinmo Technology, which is the controlling shareholder of the company and also the shareholder holding more than 5% shares. This transaction constitutes a connected transaction.